Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 54.843945 62.620917 70.651524 79.529855 89.037586 98.883308 109.819109
2025-04-27 43.961466 55.100328 67.196835 81.169722 96.732784 113.413954 132.527140
2025-05-04 36.319202 49.071420 63.474468 80.657523 100.330450 121.910261 147.138737
2025-05-11 30.343443 44.050724 60.107894 79.820896 102.927243 128.762730 159.459428
2025-05-18 26.336309 40.830780 58.371186 80.438608 106.812342 136.758749 172.796637
2025-05-25 22.524610 37.394648 55.992953 79.956828 109.129410 142.729404 183.635524
2025-06-01 19.660299 34.855224 54.455283 80.259335 112.183419 149.405361 195.166928
2025-06-08 16.714674 31.873865 52.090696 79.310198 113.541790 153.943363 204.093200
2025-06-15 14.997104 30.427919 51.583545 80.583034 117.523487 161.532274 216.558936
2025-06-22 13.532052 29.188022 51.231705 81.960224 121.565602 169.149985 229.035873
2025-06-29 11.566606 26.960943 49.360750 81.218594 122.847547 173.353058 237.388495
2025-07-06 9.490949 24.292658 46.672985 79.228921 122.415818 175.365075 243.031540
2025-07-13 8.973145 24.192750 47.687231 82.269754 128.501286 185.486135 258.599363
2025-07-20 8.190016 23.540720 47.836965 84.099533 133.013643 193.674807 271.857694
2025-07-27 6.935784 21.864673 46.334790 83.551961 134.357621 197.874325 280.222871
2025-08-03 5.773001 20.174845 44.686174 82.701444 135.229913 201.432040 287.766498
2025-08-10 5.037635 19.220370 44.116420 83.331651 138.032333 207.400914 298.269860
2025-08-17 4.190146 17.873769 42.819341 82.839757 139.279130 211.363922 306.272762
2025-08-24 3.574643 16.925663 42.105324 83.148661 141.573429 216.642320 315.901103
2025-08-31 2.854767 15.556537 40.579858 82.179375 142.071283 219.580973 322.587628
2025-09-07 2.517490 15.093407 40.580905 83.479212 145.675007 226.521023 334.292453
2025-09-14 2.226968 14.694245 40.663653 84.885423 149.419229 233.645793 346.241553
2025-09-21 1.741664 13.576942 39.373555 84.128190 150.113669 236.782750 353.153160